While purely speculation, I believe the same thing would have happened, albeit even sooner, under a Harris administration. Government intervention was inevitable and it will have to be worked out through the law.
The centrality of GitHub was part of its appeal. It’s where you went to see where nearly every (obviously not all) open source project was being developed. Based on his post, the network effect was a large part of the draw and the reason he stayed despite reliability issues. A more federated set of git UIs will never capture the same feeling.
I could imagine something like the mastodon protocol but for git forges, where even though they are separate websites there would be no true boundary to discoverability/interaction
Lately I’ve found myself taking the “if you can’t beat em, join em” attitude: if I’m not going to have a job in 5 years, I might as well help get there. It’s a strange feeling where it feels like the only way to exert free will is to accelerate my fate. The feeling of inevitable acceleration is difficult to ignore if you’re a software engineer in 2026.