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Most likely mistakes were made when calculating inflation rates. This is actually a pretty easy thing to do and will easily go unnoticed.

As evidence that this can occur, consider the US - inflation was known to be overstated by 1.3%/year before 1996.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boskin_Commission

We probably do better by now, but there are still fairly well known upward biases in our inflation calculations. For example, consider the lack of hedonic adjustments to medical care in CPI. If an laparoscopic surgery today costs more than living in pain in 1970, the BLS counts the cost increase in "medical care" as inflation.

http://www.bls.gov/cpi/cpihqaitem.htm



Ah! That makes sense, as inflation rate computations, in the end, are somewhat/largely/almost entirely subjective.

What's today's equivalent of the $800 20 inch CRT television set of 1990? A 40 inch LCD tv? With ($700) or without ($500) 3D? Or maybe a television and a $600 tablet?

So, it looks like a disagreement about the way to calculate inflation, with the challenger shouting hard, as he should, since it is the only way to make an impression.

If the challenger's arguments have merit, I guess the statitics bureau will slowly react by incorporating them into their computations. 'Slowly', IMO, is a virtue here. These computation methods should be designed by committee.


Today's equivalent of the 20" CRT is a 20" CRT, or at the very least a 20" TV. If that now costs $500, that means that the inflation rate was negative (or at least the TV's contribution to inflation was).

I don't know if inflation calculations were the problem in Canada, I'm just pointing out that it's one possible way.

Incidentally, there is a completely non-subjective way to calculate inflation: choose a fixed basket of goods. I.e., look at what someone in 1970 actually purchased, and then look today at what those goods/services [1] cost today. The only problem with this is that to calculate inflation from 1980 to today, you need to pick a 1980's basket rather than a 1970's basket, i.e. CPI stops being a single quantity you can push forward and backward in time.

[1] Also, don't choose categories of goods like health care - choose actual goods like appendix removal or aspirin.


"Incidentally, there is a completely non-subjective way to calculate inflation: choose a fixed basket of goods."

That 'choose' part is subjective. http://www.bls.gov/cpi/ (stress added):

"The Consumer Price Indexes (CPI) program produces monthly data on changes in the prices paid by urban consumers for _a_ representative basket of goods and services"

Your 'or at the very least a 20" TV' acknowledges that, too. How do you objectively choose between the two?

Similarly, "like appendix removal or aspirin": who determines that "aspirin" is the actual good, and not "pain killing" or "prevention of strokes"?




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